Projection
The central estimate of fantasy points for the week, built from recent usage and the salary the site assigned to the player.
NFL DFS projections
NFL DFS projections with ranges, value and trust
A projection on its own is a single number with no context. Next Man Up shows the projection alongside a worst case, a best case, the gap to the season average, the cost of each projected point and a plausibility rank that says how much the whole row can be trusted.
Build a lineup with these numbersWhat a projections board looks like
The table below is an illustrative sample, not this week's slate. Upload your DraftKings salary file in the builder and every row is recalculated from the live slate, for every player priced on it.
| Pos | Salary | Projection | WCS | BCS | Season avg | Var | DSPP | Plausibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | $7,600 | 21.9 | 13.4 | 30.8 | 25.1 | -13% | $347 | 92 |
| QB | $6,200 | 17.4 | 10.1 | 25.2 | 20.6 | -16% | $356 | 81 |
| RB | $8,100 | 18.6 | 9.8 | 28.4 | 22.3 | -17% | $435 | 95 |
| RB | $5,900 | 13.2 | 6.4 | 21.7 | 16.0 | -18% | $447 | 77 |
| WR | $8,800 | 19.8 | 8.9 | 33.1 | 24.0 | -17% | $444 | 90 |
| WR | $6,400 | 14.1 | 5.6 | 25.0 | 17.8 | -21% | $454 | 74 |
| TE | $5,200 | 11.3 | 4.2 | 19.6 | 13.9 | -19% | $460 | 69 |
| DST | $3,200 | 8.4 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 9.6 | -12% | $381 | 66 |
How to read each column
WCS and BCS
The worst case and best case bookends. Cash games favour a high worst case; tournaments reward a high best case even when the middle looks ordinary.
Var
How far the projection sits from the season average. A 12 to 28 percent discount is expected, because the model runs conservative. Larger gaps are flagged for a closer look.
DSPP
Dollars spent per projected point: salary divided by projection. Lower means the points are cheaper, but cheap alone never proves a real workload.
Plausibility
A trust score combining sample size, agreement with salary-implied expectation, starter pricing thresholds and injury status.
Season avg
The scoring baseline over the games in your chosen sample window. Shorten or lengthen the window and the whole board recalculates.
Get projections for your slate
Download the DraftKings salary file for the contest you are entering and upload it once. Every player on the slate gets the full row above, and you can auto-build or hand-pick a legal QB / 2 RB / 3 WR / TE / FLEX / DST lineup under the $50,000 cap.