NFL DFS projections · Week 5 · Oct 11, 2026

This week's real NFL DFS board

Real DraftKings salaries for the Week 5 · Oct 11, 2026 main slate, matched to every player's real 2026 regular-season production through Week 4. Fantasy points use DraftKings classic scoring, worst and best case are each player's actual lowest and highest game this season, and DSPP shows how many salary dollars you pay for each point.

Best value

Tyler Shough

QB · NO · $6,100

$234/pt

Top scorer

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

WR · SEA · $8,800

31.4 FPPG

Highest ceiling

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

WR · SEA · $8,800

45.5 pt best game

Safest floor

Chris Olave

WR · NO · $7,700

22.6 pt worst game

Salary & projection board

PlayerPosGameSalaryGP2026 FPPGWCSBCSUsage / gameDSPPPts/$1KGrade
Jahmyr GibbsRBDET@ARI$9,800430.017.741.420 car · 88 rush yds · 7 tgt$3273.06xVALUE
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRSF@SEA$8,800431.412.645.510.5 tgt · 120 rec yds$2803.57xSTEAL
Christian McCaffreyRBSF@SEA$8,200418.513.822.612.5 car · 54 rush yds · 5.5 tgt$4432.26xFAIR
Ja'Marr ChaseQWRCIN@MIA$8,100415.03.226.57 tgt · 53 rec yds$5401.85xPRICEY
Amon-Ra St. BrownWRDET@ARI$7,900423.611.938.211.5 tgt · 76 rec yds$3352.99xVALUE
Jonathan TaylorRBIND@PIT$7,800421.89.229.221.5 car · 88 rush yds · 3.8 tgt$3582.79xFAIR
Chris OlaveWRMIN@NO$7,700325.522.631.212 tgt · 125 rec yds$3023.31xVALUE
Nico CollinsWRHOU@TEN$7,500227.521.233.89 tgt · 96 rec yds$2733.67xSTEAL
Justin JeffersonQWRMIN@NO$7,300315.05.231.25.7 tgt · 60 rec yds$4872.05xPRICEY
Ashton JeantyRBLV@NE$7,200419.210.335.719.5 car · 66 rush yds · 6 tgt$3752.67xFAIR
Tee HigginsQWRCIN@MIA$7,100418.58.929.79.8 tgt · 100 rec yds$3842.61xFAIR
Brock BowersTELV@NE$7,000225.620.630.612 tgt · 101 rec yds$2733.66xSTEAL
Joe BurrowQBCIN@MIA$6,900420.915.228.7293 pass yds · 10 rush yds$3303.03xVALUE
Chase BrownRBCIN@MIA$6,900414.58.919.114.5 car · 52 rush yds · 6 tgt$4762.10xPRICEY
Jaylen WarrenRBIND@PIT$6,700415.09.723.613.8 car · 77 rush yds · 5 tgt$4472.24xFAIR
Trey McBrideTEDET@ARI$6,700417.310.124.511.5 tgt · 60 rec yds$3872.58xFAIR
Jared GoffQBDET@ARI$6,600423.016.432.8304 pass yds · 4 rush yds$2873.48xVALUE
Garrett WilsonWRCLE@NYJ$6,600416.55.729.77.8 tgt · 68 rec yds$4002.50xFAIR
Brock PurdyQBSF@SEA$6,500425.419.631.3252 pass yds · 30 rush yds$2563.91xSTEAL
Aaron Jones Sr.RBMIN@NO$6,500413.610.016.818 car · 74 rush yds · 3.8 tgt$4782.09xPRICEY
Mike EvansWRSF@SEA$6,500412.68.416.96 tgt · 53 rec yds$5161.94xPRICEY
Christian WatsonWRCHI@GB$6,400420.07.735.78 tgt · 83 rec yds$3203.13xVALUE
Drake MayeQBLV@NE$6,300414.26.828.2214 pass yds · 34 rush yds$4442.25xFAIR
Malik NabersWRNYG@WAS$6,300412.01.126.26.5 tgt · 52 rec yds$5251.90xPRICEY
D'Andre SwiftRBCHI@GB$6,200417.18.435.417.2 car · 78 rush yds · 2.8 tgt$3632.76xFAIR
Michael WilsonWRDET@ARI$6,200414.23.825.911 tgt · 64 rec yds$4372.29xFAIR
Tyler ShoughQBMIN@NO$6,100326.122.429.2306 pass yds · 22 rush yds$2344.28xSTEAL
Jeremiyah LoveQRBDET@ARI$6,100412.26.521.913.8 car · 56 rush yds · 3.2 tgt$5002.00xPRICEY
Jayden DanielsQQBNYG@WAS$6,000216.214.717.7130 pass yds · 50 rush yds$3702.70xFAIR
Omarion HamptonRBDEN@LAC$6,000411.75.618.514.8 car · 60 rush yds · 1.2 tgt$5131.95xPRICEY
C.J. StroudQBHOU@TEN$5,900419.111.726.1285 pass yds · 16 rush yds$3093.24xVALUE
Sam DarnoldQBSF@SEA$5,800315.80.532.7187 pass yds · 4 rush yds$3672.72xFAIR
George KittleTESF@SEA$5,200416.13.226.25.5 tgt · 61 rec yds$3233.10xVALUE
Tyler WarrenTEIND@PIT$5,000412.19.114.76.8 tgt · 32 rec yds$4132.42xFAIR
Sam LaPortaTEDET@ARI$4,900414.27.422.48 tgt · 57 rec yds$3452.90xVALUE
T.J. HockensonTEMIN@NO$4,800412.63.127.96.5 tgt · 49 rec yds$3812.63xFAIR
BengalsDSTCIN@MIA$3,500—9.0———$3892.57xFAIR
TexansDSTHOU@TEN$3,400—4.8———$7081.41xPRICEY
SteelersDSTIND@PIT$3,300—9.3———$3552.82xVALUE
BroncosDSTDEN@LAC$3,200—6.8———$4712.13xPRICEY
VikingsDSTMIN@NO$3,100—12.5———$2484.03xSTEAL
LionsDSTDET@ARI$3,000—4.3———$6981.43xPRICEY

Sources: DraftKings salary export (Week 5 · Oct 11, 2026); 2026 regular-season stats through Week 4 (nflverse). DST uses DraftKings' season average. Players ruled OUT or on IR are left off.

Best value at every position

The cheapest cost per point at each roster spot on this week's board. Value alone doesn't build a winning lineup, but it shows where the salary cap stretches furthest — and where you can afford to pay up for a ceiling play.

QB

Tyler Shough

NO · MIN@NO

$6,100 · 26.1 FPPG

$234/pt

RB

Jahmyr Gibbs

DET · DET@ARI

$9,800 · 30.0 FPPG

$327/pt

WR

Nico Collins

HOU · HOU@TEN

$7,500 · 27.5 FPPG

$273/pt

TE

Brock Bowers

LV · LV@NE

$7,000 · 25.6 FPPG

$273/pt

DST

Vikings

MIN · MIN@NO

$3,100 · 12.5 FPPG

$248/pt

How to read each column

2026 FPPG

DraftKings fantasy points per game from this season's real box scores: 0.04 per passing yard, 4 per passing TD, −1 per interception, 0.1 per rushing or receiving yard, 6 per rushing or receiving TD, 1 per catch, plus the +3 bonuses for 300 passing, 100 rushing or 100 receiving yards.

WCS and BCS

Worst case and best case are the player's real lowest and highest DraftKings scores in a game this season. Cash games want a high WCS; tournaments reward a high BCS.

Usage / game

Volume drives fantasy points. Targets and carries per game tell you whether production is backed by a steady workload or by a couple of long touchdowns that may not repeat.

DSPP

Dollars spent per projected point: salary divided by FPPG. Lower means cheaper points. It's the same value math the builder uses to rank every player on the slate.

Pts/$1K

Points per $1,000 of salary. 3x or better is the usual target for a lineup that cashes; 4x or better is a tournament-winning pace.

Grade

STEAL at 3.5x or better, VALUE at 2.8x, FAIR at 2.2x, PRICEY below that. It's a quick read of how far this week's salary sits from what the player has produced.

Week 5 strategy notes

Small samples move fast. Four games is a short track record. A single 40-point game inflates a season average, so check BCS against FPPG — if the best game is more than double the average, expect regression.

Pay for volume, not touchdowns. Receivers with eight or more targets a game and backs with 15+ carries carry the safest floors. Touchdown-only production is the first thing to vanish when salaries catch up.

Matchups matter. These numbers don't yet account for the opponent. In the builder, paste OPRK from DraftKings and every projection is adjusted for how tough the opposing defense is at that position.

Build your lineup from this board

Upload the same DraftKings salary file in the builder to see every player on the slate, not just the top of each position. Auto-build or hand-pick a legal QB / 2 RB / 3 WR / TE / FLEX / DST lineup under the $50,000 cap, or compare any two players head to head on the Valuation page.